Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Why Hillary Clinton Will Likely Be Our Next President

     

        Eight years ago, it seemed as if Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had solidified her bid as the Democratic Party's nominee for president. This opportunity, though, was taken from her by a lesser known, African-American senator from Illinois, Barack Obama. Now, it is truly her time, and there does not seem to be anyone who is going to stop her. 
        Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign is a non-stop political machine whose only goal is to reach the White House. Clinton, hailed for her decades of political experience, is the front-runner for the Democrats, most of whom have accepted the fact that she will be the party's nominee. Clinton has carried a steady lead for some time over her Democratic opponent, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, who holds waning support from the party's base. Sanders, a progressive looking to take on big business, while exhibiting more strength than expected, does not have the support to beat powerhouse candidate Clinton. For many Democratic voters, Clinton provides a reliable choice, exhibiting her ability to lead through a strong record as Secretary of State. While some argue that Clinton has made too many missteps and others that she is not trustworthy, she has demonstrated time and time again her capability of accomplishing change, as was seen when she successfully restored America's role as a global leader after the Bush years. 
        Additionally, Clinton is a genuinely strong candidate. Her polls have continued to rise throughout the primary cycle, pushing her opponent, Sanders, further and further behind. She has won 1,630 delegates over the course of this race, while Sanders only has 870, roughly half of those Clinton possesses. Likewise, Clinton has consistently carried a lead over Sanders in polls, recently beating him by nearly ten points in a CBS News/NY Times poll. There are many reasons as to why, at this point, Democratic voters have favored her over Sanders.
        First of all, while Sanders pledges to drastically change the way the government is run, Clinton looks to continue the legacy of President Obama, which makes for a convincing argument in the eyes of many Obama supporters. In addition, Clinton appeals to more moderate Democrats, as opposed to Sanders who, for the most part, garners support from the far-left of the spectrum. Her moderate stances and ability to work across party lines will allow her to carry on the slow but steady progress of the Democratic Party in a government with a great deal of Republican control. Sanders' plans for America are simply to one-sided to actually constitute progress, which makes Clinton's moderate views all the more appealing. 



        Besides this, Clinton would be fairly likely to beat a Republican candidate, such as Donald Trump, in the general election. Trump, an outspoken, anti-establishment candidate, holds stances which are simply too radical to maintain in contact with the views of the American people. His campaign relies on those who are not satisfied with the current state of the nation and possesses a desire for the government to return to the way it used to be. Clinton, instead, conveys a message of hope for the future of the country. If Hillary Clinton becomes the next president, she will provide opportunities for future generations of Americans and sustain the role of the United States as a global leader. This positive message is one of the many factors pushing moderate Republicans away from the bigotry and anger of Trump. 
        Unlike Trump, Clinton will have the whole Democratic Party backing her candidacy. She has obtained a great number of endorsements from those within the party, as opposed to Trump, for whom the Republican Party has illustrated clear disdain. Certain members of the party, including Former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney, have gone so far as to publicly condemn Trump's hateful speech. As well as this, Clinton's campaign contains many top-notch staffers who have worked for past Democratic presidential administrations, such as those of Presidents Clinton and Obama. Not only is Clinton's campaign more likely to triumph over that of Trump in a general election, but Clinton also possesses a far more diverse group of voters, in contrast to Trump, who relies on a more homogeneous body of voters for his support. 
        Trump's mere 30-40 percent of support amongst Republican voters may, in fact, result in a brokered convention taking place this summer in the Republican Party. If Trump were to not gain enough delegates to be guaranteed the nomination, the Republicans may decide to hold a brokered convention, during which the party would choose its nominee. In this case, Trump would probably not win; the party would, instead, presumably choose a party favorite such as Mitt Romney or Paul Ryan or the establishment candidate with little support, John Kasich. In the event of a brokered convention, after which Trump would likely be robbed of the nomination, there is a considerable chance that Trump would run as a third-party candidate or, if not, simply take away a great number of votes from whomever the Republicans choose as their candidate. Therefore, under the present circumstances, the Republican Party is likely going to lose this election, whether it chooses to install Trump as its nominee or replace him with a candidate more in tune with the party's values. 
        Hillary Clinton is truly the best candidate in the 2016 race, and she is, out of those currently running for president, the most likely to win. She possesses undeniable experience, having been Secretary of State, a U.S. Senator from New York, and the First Lady for eight years. She has, as well, proven her capability to achieve change and lead through her strong record in politics. Clinton will presumably defeat any candidate who goes up against her due to the circumstances of this election, and her election will guarantee a better future for the American people.

5 comments:

  1. Replies
    1. Yes, Sanders would make a good VP, especially for the fact that he would diversify Clinton's voters

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    2. However, I don't think that she will pick him. I believe that she will probably pick a younger, possibly more liberal Democrat from a key region or state.

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    3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    4. I agree with that HRC will likely win, though I do hope the Republicans choose a different nominee. If Trump doesn’t get a majority of delegates, which I won’t see as “robbed” – you need 1,237+ delegates just like you need 370 in electoral votes to win the presidency. I think it’s just too risky to have him on top of the ticket, even if the other candidate will lose, you need someone in each party that is up to the task, just in case voters don’t show up for either side (Romney, McCain, Gore would have been fine – Trump NOT!).

      I think HRC needs a much younger VP and a man, a la Booker.

      I’ve been thinking that people your age, who are really involved in this presidential race as their first, are set up for a lifetime of letdowns. No presidential election has ever been this interesting, with so many twists and turns. With SuperDelegates on the Democratic side, and 15+ candidates on the Republican side including a reality TV star that has never held elected office but the media is obsessed with, this has been a wild one. And, something tells me that the excitement is not over.

      BTW, I like your column – I tend to be more of a Republican, but I think it’s well written, and I like your range of topics.

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